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Dorneda vs Celtiga

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
Dorneda Logo

Dorneda

1 - 0
FT
Celtiga Logo

Celtiga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dorneda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorneda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dorneda
20%
Draws
10%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dorneda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtiga lately — more wins on the board than Dorneda.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dorneda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 20%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorneda Celtiga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Celtiga
1:0
Nov 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Dorneda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorneda 85 / 100
Celtiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorneda Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorneda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Celtiga let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dorneda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Celtiga registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Celtiga
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorneda

(Home)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)