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Dorneda vs Somozas

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 game between Dorneda and Somozas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dorneda
35%
Draws
30%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Somozas come out ahead of Dorneda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dorneda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Somozas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 20%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorneda Somozas
Matches Played 32 42
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 14
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Somozas
0:2
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Dorneda
2:0
Jan 26, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Somozas
1:2
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Dorneda
3:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Somozas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorneda 42 / 100
Somozas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorneda Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Dorneda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Somozas has conceded goals in 57% of their last 42 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorneda

(Home)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)