Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dorogi FC vs Kelen

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northwest 2024/2025 Buzanszky Jeno Stadion, Dorog
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Juhasz B.
26' Event
Szucs A.
57' Event
Gula B.

AI Match Summary

Dorogi FC in this NB III - Northwest 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorogi FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dorogi FC
15%
Draws
42%
Kelen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dorogi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dorogi FC have won more games recently than Kelen.
  • Dorogi FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dorogi FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dorogi FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kelen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorogi FC Kelen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.16 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 NB III - Northwest
Dorogi FC vs Kelen
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 NB III - Northwest
Kelen vs Dorogi FC
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 NB III - Northwest
Kelen vs Dorogi FC
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 NB III - Northwest
Dorogi FC vs Kelen
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorogi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Szucs A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gula B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Kelen Compare

Top Goalscorer Juhasz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorogi FC 85 / 100
Kelen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorogi FC Kelen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorogi FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Dorogi FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dorogi FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dorogi FC VS Kelen
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 10
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorogi FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 1
Dorogi FC
19 Sept
Dorogi FC
4 : 0
Puskas Academy II
13 Sept
Dorogi FC
0 : 2
Ujpest
05 Sept
Dorogi FC
2 : 1
Papai Perutz
29 Aug
Zalaegerszegi II
4 : 2
Dorogi FC
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Kelen

(Away)
20 Jun
Kelen
1 : 10
Paks
29 Oct
Kelen
0 : 1
Kazincbarcika
14 Sept
Kelen
3 : 2
Tarpa
23 Aug
Kelen
1 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 Aug
Villanyi
1 : 2
Kelen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mosonmagyarovari TE 30 21 6 3 58:18 69
2 Bicskei 30 21 2 7 54:26 65
3 VSC Veszprem 30 17 6 7 42:27 57
4 Gyor II 30 16 5 9 53:49 53
5 Puskas Academy II 30 15 7 8 47:32 52
6 III. Keruleti TVE 30 14 6 10 56:39 48
7 Budaorsi SC 30 14 5 11 56:50 47
8 Komaromi VSE 30 12 10 8 48:35 46
9 Erdi 30 13 4 13 31:30 43
10 Sopron 30 8 10 12 33:40 34
11 Ujpest II 30 8 5 17 42:53 29
12 Dorogi FC 30 7 8 15 35:50 29
13 Haladas VSE 30 6 11 13 37:54 29
14 Balatonfuredi 30 7 6 17 29:46 27
15 Gyirmot FC Gyor II 30 5 7 18 41:75 22
16 Kelen 30 5 4 21 24:62 19
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)