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Dorogi FC vs Komaromi VSE

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 Buzanszky Jeno Stadion, Dorog
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Match Events

15' Event
Mucska V.
53' Event
Nagy M.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 game between Dorogi FC and Komaromi VSE finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dorogi FC
20%
Draws
29%
Komaromi VSE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dorogi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dorogi FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dorogi FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Northwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dorogi FC Clean Sheet 20%
Komaromi VSE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorogi FC Komaromi VSE
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 18 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.23 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NB III - Northwest
Dorogi FC vs Komaromi VSE
1:0
May 10, 2026 NB III - Northwest
Dorogi FC vs Komaromi VSE
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Northwest
Komaromi VSE vs Dorogi FC
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 NB III - Northwest
Komaromi VSE vs Dorogi FC
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 NB III - Northwest
Dorogi FC vs Komaromi VSE
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorogi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Komaromi VSE Compare

Top Goalscorer Mucska V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorogi FC 58 / 100
Komaromi VSE 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorogi FC Komaromi VSE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorogi FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dorogi FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Komaromi VSE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Dorogi FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dorogi FC VS Komaromi VSE
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorogi FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Mosonmagyarovari TE
0 : 1
Dorogi FC
19 Sept
Dorogi FC
4 : 0
Puskas Academy II
13 Sept
Dorogi FC
0 : 2
Ujpest
05 Sept
Dorogi FC
2 : 1
Papai Perutz
29 Aug
Zalaegerszegi II
4 : 2
Dorogi FC
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Komaromi VSE

(Away)
26 Sept
Bicskei
4 : 5
Komaromi VSE
19 Sept
Komaromi VSE
1 : 1
Gyor II
12 Sept
Szolnoki MAV
3 : 1
Komaromi VSE
06 Sept
Haladas VSE
1 : 0
Komaromi VSE
29 Aug
Komaromi VSE
0 : 0
Mosonmagyarovari TE
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyirmot FC Gyor 30 27 1 2 106:20 82
2 Tatabanya 30 20 2 8 64:37 62
3 Dorogi FC 30 18 4 8 49:34 58
4 Puskas Academy II 30 17 3 10 58:37 54
5 Komaromi VSE 30 15 6 9 59:45 51
6 Haladas VSE 30 15 6 9 43:32 51
7 Mosonmagyarovari TE 30 14 5 11 48:33 47
8 VSC Veszprem 30 12 8 10 36:37 44
9 Budaorsi SC 30 12 5 13 53:51 41
10 Bicskei 30 10 6 14 50:51 36
11 Gyor II 30 10 4 16 47:63 34
12 Ujpest II 30 9 7 14 46:50 34
13 Sopron 30 9 7 14 43:58 34
14 Papai Perutz 30 6 4 20 43:83 22
15 Balatonfuredi 30 4 6 20 20:62 18
16 Zsambek 30 3 4 23 35:107 13
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)