Sport Picks
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
30%
64%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Tervel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Dorostol haven't matched Septemvri Tervel's recent run of results.
- Septemvri Tervel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Septemvri Tervel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dorostol | Septemvri Tervel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.45 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Dorostol
6:0
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Dorostol
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
0:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dorostol 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dorostol Septemvri Tervel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Dorostol scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Septemvri Tervel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 27 matches.
Solid form: Dorostol remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dorostol VS Septemvri Tervel
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dorostol
(Home) 19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2 Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1 Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0 Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4 Svetkavitsa 2014
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0 Svetkavitsa
09 May
Dorostol
0 : 9 Ludogorets III
25 Apr
Dorostol
0 : 1 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 3
Septemvri Tervel
(Away) 26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
17 May
Cherno More II
0 : 2 Septemvri Tervel
09 May
Fratria II
0 : 4 Septemvri Tervel
29 Apr
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 3 Septemvri Tervel
25 Apr
Benkovski
0 : 2 Septemvri Tervel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
