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Dortmund U19 vs AC Milan U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Fußballpark BVB Hohenbuschei, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Simic J.
16' Event
Sia D.
Assist: Traore C.
22' Event
Zeroli K.
Assist: Traore C.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dortmund U19
30%
Draws
23%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dortmund U19 lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan U19.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 12%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2023 UEFA Youth League
AC Milan U19 vs Dortmund U19
4:1
Oct 4, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunner P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sia D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeroli K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund U19 83 / 100
AC Milan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund U19's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

AC Milan U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Dortmund U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund U19 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 8

AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen U19 6 4 1 1 18:7 13
2 Bayern U19 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Galatasaray U19 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Manchester United U19 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens U19 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Sevilla U19 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Arsenal U19 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 2 0 14:1 14
2 Braga U19 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 4:17 4
4 Union Berlin U19 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salzburg U19 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
2 Inter U19 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
3 Benfica U19 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
4 Real Sociedad U19 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U19 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:3 12
3 Lazio U19 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Celtic U19 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Dortmund U19 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
3 Newcastle Utd U19 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
4 PSG U19 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 RB Leipzig U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Young Boys U19 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
3 Shakhtar U19 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
4 Antwerp U19 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)