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Dortmund U19 vs PSG U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Dortmund Brackel Training Ground, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bamba S.
Assist: Watjen K.
32'
Lubach R.
38'
Adonis E.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 game between Dortmund U19 and PSG U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dortmund U19
20%
Draws
48%
PSG U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dortmund U19 come out ahead of PSG U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans PSG U19's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Dortmund U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 10%
PSG U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund U19 PSG U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.24 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs PSG U19
2:0
Sep 19, 2023 UEFA Youth League
PSG U19 vs Dortmund U19
0:1
Feb 28, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs PSG U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onofrietti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

PSG U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund U19 14 / 100
PSG U19 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund U19 PSG U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dortmund U19 scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

PSG U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dortmund U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund U19 VS PSG U19
2.75 Goals Scored 3.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 7

PSG U19

(Away)
09 Sept
PSG U19
6 : 1
Slovan Bratislava U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
17 Mar
Villarreal U19
0 : 1
PSG U19
25 Feb
PSG U19
6 : 1
HJK U19
04 Feb
PSG U19
4 : 0
Din. Minsk U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen U19 6 4 1 1 18:7 13
2 Bayern U19 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Galatasaray U19 6 2 0 4 5:17 6
4 Manchester United U19 6 1 1 4 5:8 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens U19 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Sevilla U19 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Arsenal U19 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 2 0 14:1 14
2 Braga U19 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 4:17 4
4 Union Berlin U19 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salzburg U19 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
2 Inter U19 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
3 Benfica U19 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
4 Real Sociedad U19 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord U19 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:3 12
3 Lazio U19 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Celtic U19 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U19 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Dortmund U19 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
3 Newcastle Utd U19 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
4 PSG U19 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 2 0 17:6 14
2 RB Leipzig U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Young Boys U19 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
3 Shakhtar U19 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
4 Antwerp U19 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 (Play Offs)