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Dortmund vs AS Roma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dybala P.
9' Event
Cristante B.
Assist: Dybala P.
12' Event
Ryerson J.
Assist: Svensson D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dortmund
35%
Draws
32%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dortmund lately — more wins on the board than AS Roma.
  • Model gives AS Roma a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 16%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund AS Roma
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.89 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs AS Roma
2:2
Mar 18, 1993 Europa League
Dortmund vs AS Roma
2:0
Mar 2, 1993 Europa League
AS Roma vs Dortmund
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryerson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guirassy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Dybala P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristante B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund 28 / 100
AS Roma 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dortmund scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Dortmund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AS Roma has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund VS AS Roma
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund

(Home)
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
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AS Roma

(Away)
20 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 0
Slovan Bratislava
17 Oct
AS Roma
2 : 0
Genoa
14 Oct
AS Roma
3 : 4
Real Madrid
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
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