Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Guirassy S.
Assist: Ryerson J.
18'
18'
Reggiani L.
40'
40'
Kossounou O.
AI Match Summary
Dortmund in this Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dortmund have won more games recently than Atalanta.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund taking it.
- Dortmund have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dortmund, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 19%
Atalanta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dortmund | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2026 Champions League
Atalanta vs Dortmund
4:1
Feb 17, 2026 Champions League
Dortmund vs Atalanta
2:0
Feb 22, 2018 Europa League
Atalanta vs Dortmund
1:1
Feb 15, 2018 Europa League
Dortmund vs Atalanta
3:2
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Dortmund vs Atalanta
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Atalanta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dortmund 85 / 100
Atalanta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dortmund Atalanta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Dortmund scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Dortmund remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Atalanta let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Dortmund VS Atalanta
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dortmund
(Home) 12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5 Dortmund
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
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12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2 Villarreal
29 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 0 Hamburger
22 Aug
Dortmund
1 : 2 Bayern Munich
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2 AS Roma
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Atalanta
(Away) 12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2 Cagliari
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Bologna
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
23 Aug
Atalanta
2 : 1 Sassuolo
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05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
27 Aug
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 : 1 Atalanta
08 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3 Atalanta
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1 Atalanta
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
