Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dortmund vs Inter

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Akanji M.
57'
Sub
Bonny A. In: Esposito F.
Out: Bonny A.
68'
Sub
Guirassy S. In: Adeyemi K.
Out: Guirassy S.

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Dortmund and Inter finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Dortmund
30%
Draws
35%
Inter
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter come out ahead of Dortmund on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 15%
Inter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund Inter
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Champions League
Dortmund vs Inter
0:2
Nov 5, 2019 Champions League
Dortmund vs Inter
3:2
Oct 23, 2019 Champions League
Inter vs Dortmund
2:0
Mar 17, 1994 Europa League
Inter vs Dortmund
1:2
Mar 1, 1994 Europa League
Dortmund vs Inter
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimarco F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diouf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund 30 / 100
Inter 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund Inter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dortmund scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Inter's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dortmund stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund VS Inter
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1
Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0
Dortmund
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Dortmund
18 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1 : 3
Dortmund
16 May
Werder Bremen
0 : 2
Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

Inter

(Away)
05 Aug
AC Milan
1 : 1
Inter
01 Aug
Manchester City
1 : 2
Inter
26 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 2
Inter
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Inter
1 : 1
Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle Utd 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag Agdam 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)