Sport Picks
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
DFB Pokal Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the DFB Pokal. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Dortmund at 1.89 goals for, 1 against; Werder Bremen at 1.77 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Dortmund have won 2 to Werder Bremen's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Dortmund. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Dortmund come out ahead of Werder Bremen on wins alone.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund taking it.
- Dortmund have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dortmund, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dortmund | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dortmund found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Werder Bremen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Dortmund remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
