Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017

Almeria B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dos Hermanas play Almeria B in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dos Hermanas averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Almeria B averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Dos Hermanas won 0, Almeria B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 12, 2017 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Dos Hermanas and 0.88 for Almeria B. This points to a Dos Hermanas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Dos Hermanas

23%

Draws

23%

Almeria B

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Dos Hermanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Dos Hermanas picked up more points recently compared to Almeria B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 25%

Almeria B Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dos Hermanas	Almeria B
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	18	6
Draws	6	9
Losses	6	20
Goals Scored	2.33	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Dos Hermanas vs Almeria B

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Almeria B vs Dos Hermanas

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dos Hermanas 54 / 100

Almeria B 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dos Hermanas Almeria B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dos Hermanas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Dos Hermanas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dos Hermanas attacking → ← attacking Almeria B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dos Hermanas scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Almeria B let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Dos Hermanas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Almeria B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 27

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malaga B	38	28	6	4	107:34	90
2	Antequera	38	23	6	9	70:38	75
3	Almeria B	38	21	8	9	61:36	71
4	Huetor Tajar	38	21	8	9	73:48	71
5	Motril	38	21	7	10	71:43	70
6	Loja	38	20	6	12	63:41	66
7	Rincon	38	16	9	13	49:52	57
8	El Palo	38	16	8	14	64:57	56
9	Martos	38	15	8	15	57:54	53
10	Guadix	38	14	9	15	47:51	51
11	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	38	14	6	18	41:51	48
12	Maracena	38	12	10	16	50:54	46
13	UD San Pedro	37	11	12	14	42:49	45
14	Atarfe Industrial	37	11	12	14	42:59	45
15	Velez	38	12	8	18	44:64	44
16	Huetor Vega	38	10	14	14	45:55	44
17	River Melilla	38	10	10	18	47:67	40
18	CD Alhaurino	38	7	10	21	37:67	31
19	Dos Hermanas	38	7	7	24	48:88	28
20	Alhaurin	38	3	10	25	39:89	19