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Douane vs Gendrim

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Douane Logo

Douane

0 - 1
FT
Gendrim Logo

Gendrim

Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Traore O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Douane and Gendrim finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gendrim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Douane
35%
Draws
47%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gendrim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douane come out ahead of Gendrim on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Douane have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Douane Clean Sheet 24%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane Gendrim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Douane
0:1
May 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
3:0
Jan 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Douane
1:3
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Gendrim
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gendrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 33 / 100
Gendrim 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gendrim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douane's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gendrim conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Douane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS Gendrim
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Gendrim

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)