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Douane vs Pompiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Yatma A.
46' Event
Sidi E.
89' Event
Tetah E. M.

AI Match Summary

Douane in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Douane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Douane
35%
Draws
40%
Pompiers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pompiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Douane have won more games recently than Pompiers.
  • Model gives Pompiers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Douane Clean Sheet 23%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane Pompiers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Pompiers
2:1
Nov 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Douane
0:0
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Pompiers
0:0
Nov 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Douane
0:1
Feb 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Douane
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Yatma A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tetah E. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pompiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 29 / 100
Pompiers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane Pompiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompiers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douane scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Douane stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Pompiers conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS Pompiers
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Pompiers

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)