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Douane vs SNIM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Douane Logo

Douane

2 - 1
FT
SNIM Logo

SNIM

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Idriss M.
41' Event
Arwel D.
49' Event
Gaye B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Douane in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Douane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Douane
30%
Draws
31%
SNIM
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Douane lately — more wins on the board than SNIM.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Douane Clean Sheet 68%
SNIM Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douane SNIM
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Douane
0:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Douane
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs SNIM
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Idriss M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arwel D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

SNIM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douane 42 / 100
SNIM 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douane SNIM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douane's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SNIM let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Douane stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: SNIM registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douane VS SNIM
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Douane

(Home)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

SNIM

(Away)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)