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Douanes Niamey vs Liberte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Douanes Niamey host Liberte in the Super Ligue. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Liberte have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Douanes Niamey have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Douanes Niamey have won 3 to Liberte's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.75, favoring Douanes Niamey. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Douanes Niamey
35%
Draws
32%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Douanes Niamey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Douanes Niamey are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Liberte Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey Liberte
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 12
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Liberte
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
1:1
Jun 18, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Liberte
4:3
Dec 6, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
0:1
Jul 10, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Douanes Niamey
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 40 / 100
Liberte 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douanes Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberte let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Douanes Niamey scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Douanes Niamey has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS Liberte
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
11 Oct
Espoir
1 : 1
Douanes Niamey
02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2
Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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Liberte

(Away)
11 Oct
Liberte
1 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
04 Oct
Niima
1 : 0
Liberte
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Tagour 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
8 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
9 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
10 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
12 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
13 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 5 0 2 3 2:5 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)