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Douanes Niamey vs Sahel

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
Douanes Niamey Logo

Douanes Niamey

1 - 0
FT
Sahel Logo

Sahel

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Douanes Niamey in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Douanes Niamey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Douanes Niamey
30%
Draws
39%
Sahel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Douanes Niamey have won more games recently than Sahel.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Douanes Niamey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
Sahel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douanes Niamey Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Douanes Niamey
0:1
Dec 26, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Sahel
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Sahel
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Super Ligue
Sahel vs Douanes Niamey
1:0
May 21, 2024 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs Sahel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douanes Niamey 49 / 100
Sahel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douanes Niamey Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douanes Niamey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Douanes Niamey scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sahel has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Douanes Niamey has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Douanes Niamey VS Sahel
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Douanes Niamey

(Home)
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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Sahel

(Away)
20 Sept
Sahel
1 : 0
JS Tahoua
13 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
Sahel
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
19 Jun
Sahel
2 : 1
Renaissance
12 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 0
Sahel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)