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Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Miguel Morales, Pergamino
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Siergiejuk M.
19' Event
Nunez G.
21'
Griego A.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Formosa in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Douglas Haig
30%
Draws
31%
San Martin Formosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douglas Haig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa have won more games recently than Douglas Haig.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Douglas Haig taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douglas Haig San Martin Formosa
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa
1:4
Aug 3, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa
1:2
Oct 16, 2022 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa
1:1
Jul 3, 2022 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Douglas Haig
1:1
Mar 29, 2020 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Douglas Haig Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Martin Formosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Siergiejuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Haig 77 / 100
San Martin Formosa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douglas Haig San Martin Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douglas Haig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Douglas Haig remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Douglas Haig scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Haig VS San Martin Formosa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Douglas Haig

(Home)
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2
Sol de America
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1
Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 7

San Martin Formosa

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1
Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1
San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)