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Stadium Background

Dourados vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dourados
39%
Draws
30%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dourados lately — more wins on the board than Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dourados Clean Sheet 16%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dourados Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dourados 31 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dourados Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Dourados scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana has conceded goals in 68% of their last 19 outings.

Recent resilience: Dourados stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dourados VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dourados

(Home)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Away)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)