Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dourados vs Coxim

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Ze Augusto
69' Event
Lucas Simon
72' Event
Tche Tche

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Dourados and Coxim finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dourados
30%
Draws
41%
Coxim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coxim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dourados come out ahead of Coxim on wins alone.
  • Dourados are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dourados Clean Sheet 18%
Coxim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dourados Coxim
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.59 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Coxim
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Coxim
6:0
Mar 26, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Dourados
0:2
Feb 20, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Dourados
1:2
Feb 2, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Coxim
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dourados Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcos G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flaviano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Simon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tche Tche
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dourados 40 / 100
Coxim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dourados Coxim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dourados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coxim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dourados's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Dourados stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dourados VS Coxim
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dourados

(Home)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 7

Coxim

(Away)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)