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Dourados vs Uniao ABC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dourados in this Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dourados.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dourados
35%
Draws
35%
Uniao ABC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao ABC haven't matched Dourados's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dourados a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dourados Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dourados Uniao ABC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.47 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Uniao ABC
2:1
May 2, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Dourados
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dourados 36 / 100
Uniao ABC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dourados Uniao ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dourados's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Uniao ABC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Dourados has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dourados VS Uniao ABC
1 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dourados

(Home)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
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Uniao ABC

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
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