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Dover Ath. vs Ashford United

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Aug 3, 2024
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dover Ath. host Ashford United in the Club Friendly 2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Dover Ath. have averaged 1.68 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Ashford United's 2.19 scored and 1.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Dover Ath. slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.98 - 1.45) back Ashford United to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dover Ath.
15%
Draws
32%
Ashford United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ashford United lately — more wins on the board than Dover Ath..
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Dover Ath. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 16%
Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Ashford United
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Ashford United
0:0
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Ashford United
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 75 / 100
Ashford United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Ashford United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dover Ath. scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Ashford United conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dover Ath. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Ashford United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
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Ashford United

(Away)
12 Sept
Ascot United
1 : 3
Ashford United
29 Aug
Crowborough
2 : 4
Ashford United
01 Aug
Dartford
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Oct
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Ashford United
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