Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dover Ath. vs Braintree

England England

National League South Crabble Athletic Ground, Dover
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sheriff D.
43' Event
Matthews A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Sheriff D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dover Ath.
30%
Draws
33%
Braintree
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dover Ath.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Dover Ath. have won more games recently than Braintree.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Dover Ath. taking it.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 12%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Braintree
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Braintree
3:3
Feb 3, 2024 National League South
Braintree vs Dover Ath.
3:0
Aug 19, 2023 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Braintree
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 National League South
Braintree vs Dover Ath.
1:3
Oct 8, 2022 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Braintree
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheriff D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baptiste L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 56 / 100
Braintree 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Braintree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Braintree let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Dover Ath. found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Dover Ath. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Braintree
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3
Braintree
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

Braintree

(Away)
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
05 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 2
Braintree
31 Aug
Braintree
0 : 2
Farnborough
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3
Braintree
22 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
3 Weston-super-Mare 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
4 Tonbridge 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
5 Truro 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
6 Folkestone 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
7 Dorking Wanderers 8 3 3 2 16:11 12
8 Torquay 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
9 Salisbury 7 3 2 2 14:6 11
10 Billericay 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
11 Dover Ath. 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
12 Horsham FC 7 2 4 1 8:6 10
13 Farnham 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
14 AFC Totton 7 3 1 3 8:12 10
15 Farnborough 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
16 Chelmsford 7 1 6 0 8:7 9
17 Hemel Hempstead 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
18 Maidenhead 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
19 Chesham 8 2 1 5 12:14 7
20 Braintree 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
21 Hampton & Richmond 8 2 1 5 10:22 7
22 Ebbsfleet 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
23 Slough Town 7 0 0 7 8:21 0
24 Walton & Hersham 7 0 0 7 3:23 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)