Sport Picks

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Dover Ath. vs Sittingbourne

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
May M.
77' Event
Cosgrave C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Sittingbourne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dover Ath.
33%
Draws
40%
Sittingbourne
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sittingbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittingbourne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sittingbourne's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sittingbourne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sittingbourne, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Sittingbourne here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Sittingbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Sittingbourne
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Dover Ath. vs Sittingbourne
0:2
Sep 3, 2024 FA Cup
Dover Ath. vs Sittingbourne
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 FA Cup
Sittingbourne vs Dover Ath.
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dover Ath. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sittingbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer May M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cosgrave C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 26 / 100
Sittingbourne 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Sittingbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sittingbourne conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Dover Ath.'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Dover Ath. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Sittingbourne
1 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Carshalton
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
25 Jul
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
Page 1 of 7

Sittingbourne

(Away)
21 Jul
Tonbridge
2 : 2
Sittingbourne
15 Nov
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
Sittingbourne
25 Oct
Sittingbourne
2 : 1
Cray Valley
04 Oct
Sittingbourne
1 : 0
Hashtag
20 Sept
Crowborough
1 : 6
Sittingbourne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Plymouth Parkway 0
Chichester City 4
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Gosport Borough 5
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Leamington -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 7
Ashton United 1
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Anstey Nomads 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barton 0
Folkestone 3
Hanwell Town 5
Hendon 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Halesowen 4
FC Congleton Town 1
Slough Town -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Hungerford 2
Yate 3
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 2
TBD -
Brackley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Needham Market -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Bamber Bridge 3
TBD -
Farsley -
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 0
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 2
Belper Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Brentwood 4
Cray Valley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Town -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Tavistock 0
Winchester City 4
Dover Ath. 0
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City -
TBD -
Uxbridge 0
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Gloucester City 2
Coleshill Town 3
Biggleswade Town 2
Potters 0
Lewes 3
Ashford United 2
AFC Totton 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City -
TBD -
Barwell 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hadley 4
Hastings 3
Mickleover 1
Telford 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 4
Ossett United 0
Clitheroe 1
Gainsborough 4
TBD -
Chester -
Cambridge City 1
Royston Town 2
TBD -
Rushall -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
Worksop 2
United of Manchester 0
1/64-finals
Chichester City 2
Worthing FC 3
Gosport Borough 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Truro 0
Horsham FC 2
Maidstone 1
Leamington 2
King’s Lynn 1
TBD -
Rochdale -
Stockton 3
Scarborough Athletic 1
TBD -
Oldham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 2
Macclesfield 3
Barnet -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
St. Albans 1
Basford Utd. 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Folkestone 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Eastleigh -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Kidderminster 2
Halesowen 1
Slough Town 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Yate 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Hashtag 3
Brackley 2
Alfreton 3
Needham Market 2
Spennymoor 2
South Shields 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge 0
Farsley 1
Boston United -
TBD -
Alvechurch 1
Chasetown 0
Hereford 0
Brentwood 1
TBD -
Southend -
Southport 3
Warrington Town 0
Peterborough Sports 2
Chelmsford 0
Winchester City 1
Sittingbourne 2
Enfield Town 2
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 2
Chippenham Town 0
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 0
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Bath City 2
Chertsey Town 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 2
Weymouth 3
Boreham Wood 2
Felixstowe & Walton 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Coleshill Town 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lewes 0
AFC Totton 2
Oxford City 5
Sporting Khalsa 0
Hadley 1
Telford 0
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chorley 3
Marine 1
Scunthorpe 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 1
Chester 0
Royston Town 0
Rushall 1
York City -
TBD -
Darlington FC 1
Buxton 0
Woking -
TBD -
Welling 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Worksop 2
1/32-finals
Worthing FC 1
Gosport Borough 2
Torquay 2
Horsham FC 0
Leamington 0
Rochdale 2
Stockton 2
Oldham 0
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 0
Barnet 2
Aveley 0
Basford Utd. 3
Halifax 2
Hanwell Town 1
Eastleigh 2
AFC Fylde 2
Kidderminster 3
Slough Town 2
Maidenhead 1
Sutton 4
Ebbsfleet 3
Hartlepool 1
Tamworth 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hashtag 0
Alfreton 0
Spennymoor 1
Gateshead 8
Farsley 1
Boston United 1
Alvechurch 0
Brentwood 3
Southend 5
Southport 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Sittingbourne 4
Enfield Town 2
Chesham 2
Salisbury 3
Aldershot 3
Wealdstone 1
Chertsey Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Yeovil 1
Weymouth 2
Boreham Wood 1
Eastbourne Borough 0
Biggleswade Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Oxford City 2
Hadley 1
Braintree 1
Forest Green 2
Chorley 3
Warrington Rylands 2
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
York City 3
Darlington FC 1
Woking 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Solihull Moors 1
Radcliffe 2
1/16-finals
Worthing FC 5
Torquay 1
Rochdale 1
Stockton 0
Altrincham 3
Barnet 1
Basford Utd. 1
Eastleigh 4
Kidderminster 4
Slough Town 0
Sutton 1
Tamworth 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Spennymoor 2
Gateshead 1
Boston United 3
Southend 1
Southport 0
Sittingbourne 2
Salisbury 1
Aldershot 8
Chertsey Town 0
Weymouth 1
Boreham Wood 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Oxford City 3
Forest Green 2
Chorley 0
Gainsborough 1
York City 0
Woking 4
Radcliffe 0
1/8-finals
Worthing FC 1
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 1
Eastleigh 0
Kidderminster 0
Sutton 1
Spennymoor 3
Boston United 2
Southend 0
Sittingbourne 1
Aldershot 2
Boreham Wood 0
Oxford City 1
Forest Green 0
Gainsborough 0
Woking 3
Quarter-finals
Rochdale 2
Altrincham 0
Sutton 0
Spennymoor 2
Sittingbourne 0
Aldershot 3
Oxford City 2
Woking 3
Semi-finals
Rochdale 2
Spennymoor 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 1
Final
Spennymoor 0
Aldershot 3