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Doxa Mascholouriou vs Kastoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doxa Mascholouriou host Kastoria in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3. Doxa Mascholouriou are expected to control this from the start. Doxa Mascholouriou have averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Kastoria's 0.9 scored and 1.45 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.79 - 0.65) back Doxa Mascholouriou to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Doxa Mascholouriou
25%
Draws
35%
Kastoria
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Doxa Mascholouriou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kastoria come out ahead of Doxa Mascholouriou on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Doxa Mascholouriou taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Doxa Mascholouriou Clean Sheet 20%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doxa Mascholouriou Kastoria
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doxa Mascholouriou 76 / 100
Kastoria 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doxa Mascholouriou Kastoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doxa Mascholouriou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastoria has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Kastoria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Doxa Mascholouriou scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Recent resilience: Doxa Mascholouriou stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doxa Mascholouriou VS Kastoria
0.33 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doxa Mascholouriou

(Home)
04 Oct
Eordaikos
2 : 0
Doxa Mascholouriou
27 Sept
Doxa Mascholouriou
1 : 0
Naousa

Kastoria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eordaikos 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Makedonikos Siatista 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Anagennisi Arta 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Veria 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
5 Alexandros Florinas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 Kastoria 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
7 Doxa Mascholouriou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
8 Giannina 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Thyella Katsikas 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
10 Naousa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
11 Vatolakkos 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (Losers stage)