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Doxa vs Ayia Napa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 Makario Stadium, Nicosia
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doxa host Ayia Napa in the Division 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Doxa at 1.39 goals for, 1.32 against; Ayia Napa at 1.5 for, 1.72 against. Past meetings favor Ayia Napa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.88) back Doxa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Doxa
20%
Draws
40%
Ayia Napa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Doxa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ayia Napa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Doxa Clean Sheet 10%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doxa Ayia Napa
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2
Doxa vs Ayia Napa
0:3
Feb 28, 2026 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Doxa
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2
Doxa vs Ayia Napa
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2
Doxa vs Ayia Napa
0:1
Feb 15, 2025 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Doxa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doxa 10 / 100
Ayia Napa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doxa Ayia Napa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayia Napa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Doxa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Ayia Napa has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Doxa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doxa VS Ayia Napa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doxa

(Home)
19 Sept
Doxa
2 : 1
Anagennisi Derynia
12 Sept
Apea Akrotiriou
3 : 3
Doxa
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Omonia 29th May
5 : 1
Doxa
04 Apr
M.E.A.P. Nisou
0 : 2
Doxa
Page 1 of 7

Ayia Napa

(Away)
18 Sept
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1 : 1
Ayia Napa
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
04 Apr
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Ayia Napa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Achnas 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Paralimni 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Doxa 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
6 Apea Akrotiriou 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 PAEEK 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
8 Polemidion 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Kitiou 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 Ermis 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Digenis Akritas 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 M.E.A.P. Nisou 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
13 Ayia Napa 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
14 Akritas Chloraka 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
15 Halkanoras 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Anagennisi Derynia 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Division 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation Group)