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Doxa vs Ol. Nicosia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus Cup
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Cyprus Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ol. Nicosia have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Doxa have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Doxa slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.67 vs 1.95, favoring Doxa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Doxa
35%
Draws
24%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Doxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Ol. Nicosia haven't matched Doxa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Doxa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Doxa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Doxa Clean Sheet 10%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doxa Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 Division 2
Doxa vs Ol. Nicosia
0:0
May 19, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Doxa
1:2
Apr 13, 2023 Cyprus League
Doxa vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Cyprus League
Doxa vs Ol. Nicosia
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Doxa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doxa 30 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doxa Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ol. Nicosia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doxa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ol. Nicosia let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Doxa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doxa VS Ol. Nicosia
1.71 Goals Scored 1.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Doxa

(Home)
10 Oct
Halkanoras
3 : 4
Doxa
19 Sept
Doxa
2 : 1
Anagennisi Derynia
12 Sept
Apea Akrotiriou
3 : 3
Doxa
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Omonia 29th May
5 : 1
Doxa
Page 1 of 6

Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AEK Larnaca -
Akritas Chloraka -
Omonia 29th May -
Polemidion -
Doxa -
Ol. Nicosia -
Kitiou -
Krasava -
Aris Limassol -
Achnas -
Omonia Aradippou -
Digenis Akritas -
AEL Limassol -
Iraklis Yerolakkou -
Nea Salamis -
Apea Akrotiriou -
Karmiotissa -
Ermis -
APOEL -
Halkanoras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -