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D.R. Congo U23 vs Mauritania U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
D.R. Congo U23
15%
Draws
57%
Mauritania U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritania U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mauritania U23 lately — more wins on the board than D.R. Congo U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Mauritania U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.8%
D.R. Congo U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo U23 Mauritania U23
Matches Played 13 8
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 0.69 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
D.R. Congo U23 vs Mauritania U23
2:0
Sep 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mauritania U23 vs D.R. Congo U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo U23 31 / 100
Mauritania U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo U23 Mauritania U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Mauritania U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

D.R. Congo U23 found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (13 games).

Defensive concern: Mauritania U23 conceded in 50% of 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo U23 VS Mauritania U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo U23

(Home)
06 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
28 Sept
Mauritania U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Oct
Algeria U23
3 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
Page 1 of 3

Mauritania U23

(Away)
06 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
28 Sept
Mauritania U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
09 Jun
Algeria U23
1 : 3
Mauritania U23
05 Jun
Algeria U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
27 Sept
Togo U23
2 : 0
Mauritania U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -