Sport Picks

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D.R. Congo U23 vs Morocco U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Wed, Mar 20, 2019
0 - 3
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Muleka J.
66' Event
Muleka J.

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019. Morocco U23 go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: D.R. Congo U23 at 0.64 goals for, 1.36 against; Morocco U23 at 1.62 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, D.R. Congo U23 have won 0 to Morocco U23's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2019, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.21, favoring Morocco U23. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
D.R. Congo U23
30%
Draws
42%
Morocco U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morocco U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Morocco U23 have won more games recently than D.R. Congo U23.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Morocco U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
D.R. Congo U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo U23 Morocco U23
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 2 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.64 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Morocco U23 vs D.R. Congo U23
3:0
Mar 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
D.R. Congo U23 vs Morocco U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D.R. Congo U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muleka J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Morocco U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo U23 36 / 100
Morocco U23 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo U23 Morocco U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

D.R. Congo U23 scored in 36% of their last 11 games.

Morocco U23 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

D.R. Congo U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo U23 VS Morocco U23
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo U23

(Home)
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Oct
Algeria U23
3 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
4 : 1
Algeria U23
27 Sept
D.R. Congo U23
1 : 0
Ethiopia U23
Page 1 of 3

Morocco U23

(Away)
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
26 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Wales U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2