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D.R. Congo vs Benin Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Al Medina Stadium, Rabat
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Match Events

16' Event
Bongonda T.
Assist: Masuaku A.
20'
Moutoussamy S.
36'
Kayembe E.

AI Match Summary

D.R. Congo in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
D.R. Congo
20%
Draws
38%
Benin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D.R. Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • D.R. Congo have won more games recently than Benin.
  • Model gives D.R. Congo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • D.R. Congo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • D.R. Congo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 68%
Benin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo Benin
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Benin
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 World Championship
D.R. Congo vs Benin
2:0
Sep 6, 2021 World Championship
Benin vs D.R. Congo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bongonda T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Benin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo 95 / 100
Benin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo Benin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D.R. Congo found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Benin conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: D.R. Congo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo VS Benin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
28 Sept
Zimbabwe
1 : 2
D.R. Congo
24 Sept
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Equatorial Guinea
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
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Benin

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Mali 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
4 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Africa 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Tanzania 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 D.R. Congo 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Benin 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Burkina Faso 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Sudan 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Cameroon 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Mozambique 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams