Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D.R. Congo vs Zambia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Masuaku A.
Assist: Kayembe E.
46'
Sub
Phiri P. In: Sabobo J.
Out: Phiri P.
46'
Sub
Mbemba Ch. In: Kapuadi S.
Out: Mbemba Ch.

AI Match Summary

D.R. Congo in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored D.R. Congo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
D.R. Congo
30%
Draws
23%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: D.R. Congo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia haven't matched D.R. Congo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans D.R. Congo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 68%
Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo Zambia
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Friendly International
D.R. Congo vs Zambia
2:0
Aug 7, 2025 African Nations Championship
D.R. Congo vs Zambia
2:0
Jan 17, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Zambia
1:1
Jan 18, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs D.R. Congo
1:1
Mar 4, 2009 African Nations Championship
Zambia vs D.R. Congo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D.R. Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Masuaku A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bushiri R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zambia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo 95 / 100
Zambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D.R. Congo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Zambia let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Zambia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo VS Zambia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.43
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 6

Zambia

(Away)
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1
Zambia
16 Dec
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Zambia
Page 1 of 6