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Dragon vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mauricio E.
40' Event
Benitez Jr M.
71' Event
Mauricio E.

AI Match Summary

Alianza FC in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dragon
6%
Draws
90%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alianza FC lately — more wins on the board than Dragon.
  • Alianza FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alianza FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Alianza FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.88
Goals Conceded 4 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Alianza FC
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Dragon
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Alianza FC
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Dragon
3:0
Apr 25, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Dragon
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez Jr M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 10 / 100
Alianza FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Alianza FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Dragon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Alianza FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Dragon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS Alianza FC
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila20134337:1743
2Luis Angel Firpo20116334:1639
3Alianza FC20123528:1139
4Metapan2098322:1335
5Municipal Limeno2069521:2027
6Cacahuatique2069518:2427
7Fuerte San Francisco2066815:2024
8FAS2057817:2322
9Platense Municipal20551018:2520
10Dragon20421417:3014
1111 Deportivo20151412:408