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Dragones Toluca vs Inter Playa Del Carmen Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Dragones Toluca Logo

Dragones Toluca

0 - 0
FT
Inter Playa Del Carmen Logo

Inter Playa Del Carmen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dragones Toluca
15%
Draws
49%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Playa Del Carmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Playa Del Carmen have won more games recently than Dragones Toluca.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dragones Toluca Clean Sheet 12%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragones Toluca Inter Playa Del Carmen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones Toluca vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Dragones Toluca
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones Toluca 35 / 100
Inter Playa Del Carmen 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragones Toluca Inter Playa Del Carmen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Playa Del Carmen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Inter Playa Del Carmen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dragones Toluca's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inter Playa Del Carmen conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dragones Toluca VS Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragones Toluca

(Home)
12 Apr
Tapachula
4 : 0
Dragones Toluca
28 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 1
Deportiva Venados
22 Mar
Neza FC
1 : 4
Dragones Toluca
07 Mar
Dragones Toluca
0 : 3
Canoneros FC
28 Feb
Pioneros
3 : 1
Dragones Toluca
Page 1 of 6

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
3 : 1
Deportiva Venados
27 Sept
Montaneses
3 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 1
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)