Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones Toluca

0 - 2

Neza FC

Our Tip

Match Events

65'

Olvera G.

68'

Pacheco J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neza FC in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Dragones Toluca

Draws

Neza FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dragones Toluca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Neza FC lately — more wins on the board than Dragones Toluca.
Win probability leans Dragones Toluca's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Dragones Toluca Clean Sheet 20%

Neza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dragones Toluca	Neza FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	9
Draws	3	3
Losses	23	18
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	3.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Neza FC vs Dragones Toluca

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Dragones Toluca vs Neza FC

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragones Toluca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Neza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Olvera G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pacheco J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones Toluca 85 / 100

Neza FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dragones Toluca Neza FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neza FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Neza FC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dragones Toluca scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragones Toluca VS Neza FC

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 3.88

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17