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Dragovoljac vs Marsonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025 Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sanogo S.
36' Event
Soljic J.
42' Event
Janusic T.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Dragovoljac and Marsonia finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragovoljac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Dragovoljac
15%
Draws
42%
Marsonia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragovoljac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dragovoljac come out ahead of Marsonia on wins alone.
  • Dragovoljac are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dragovoljac here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dragovoljac Clean Sheet 20%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragovoljac Marsonia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.21 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Marsonia
5:1
Nov 2, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Dragovoljac
2:3
Mar 22, 2024 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Marsonia
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Dragovoljac
1:3
Apr 13, 2012 Prva NL
Dragovoljac vs Marsonia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragovoljac Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanogo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soljic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokotovic B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragovoljac 40 / 100
Marsonia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragovoljac Marsonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragovoljac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marsonia let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Dragovoljac found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Dragovoljac remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dragovoljac VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragovoljac

(Home)
03 Oct
Grobnican
1 : 4
Dragovoljac
25 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 1
Radnik Krizevci
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Dragovoljac
1 : 0
Slavonija Pozega
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
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Marsonia

(Away)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)