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Dravinja vs Bistrica Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Ozegovic V.
44' Event
Marsetic E.
78' Event
Marsetic E.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Dravinja and Bistrica finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
51%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistrica's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Dravinja have produced (1.14).
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Bistrica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
0:3
Aug 25, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
2:0
May 24, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Bistrica
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Dravinja
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsetic E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozegovic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 30 / 100
Bistrica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Bistrica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Dravinja's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bistrica has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bistrica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Bistrica
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
28 Sept
Rudar
3 : 1
Dravinja
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
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Bistrica

(Away)
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)