Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dravinja vs Ilirija

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Urrutia A.
47' Event
Adebayo M.
87' Event
Vezjak D.

AI Match Summary

Dravinja in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dravinja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dravinja
20%
Draws
51%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dravinja lately — more wins on the board than Ilirija.
  • Ilirija are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 12%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Ilirija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
1:0
May 6, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Ilirija
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
2:5
Apr 19, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Ilirija
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Adebayo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vezjak D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 14 / 100
Ilirija 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilirija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ilirija conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dravinja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Ilirija
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
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Ilirija

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)