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Dravinja vs Jesenice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dravinja host Jesenice in the 2. SNL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Jesenice have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Dravinja have conceded 1.71 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Dravinja slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.25) point toward Dravinja. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dravinja
15%
Draws
59%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jesenice average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Dravinja's 1.
  • Win probability leans Jesenice's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 10%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Jesenice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Dravinja
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Jesenice
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 10 / 100
Jesenice 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jesenice conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dravinja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Jesenice
1 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
28 Sept
Rudar
3 : 1
Dravinja
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
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Jesenice

(Away)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)