Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dravograd vs NK Smartno

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2023/2024 game between Dravograd and NK Smartno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Smartno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dravograd
15%
Draws
85%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • NK Smartno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on NK Smartno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dravograd Clean Sheet 19%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravograd NK Smartno
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 27 10
Goals Scored 0.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 4.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dravograd
6:0
Nov 4, 2023 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs NK Smartno
1:2
May 21, 2023 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dravograd
1:0
Oct 29, 2022 3. SNL - East
Dravograd vs NK Smartno
3:0
Mar 13, 2022 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dravograd
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravograd 10 / 100
NK Smartno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravograd NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

NK Smartno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Dravograd found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

NK Smartno lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS NK Smartno
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravograd

(Home)
25 May
Dravograd
1 : 2
NK Brezice
18 May
NK Smartno
6 : 0
Dravograd
11 May
Dravograd
1 : 6
Krsko Posavje
04 May
Hajdina
9 : 0
Dravograd
27 Apr
Ljutomer
5 : 2
Dravograd
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NK Smartno

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
29 Aug
NK Smartno
3 : 0
SD Videm
22 Aug
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 0
NK Smartno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drava 26 20 3 3 81:24 63
2 Krsko Posavje 26 14 5 7 88:41 47
3 SD Videm 26 13 6 7 49:41 45
4 Korotan Prevalje 26 13 6 7 50:34 45
5 NK Brezice 26 14 2 10 67:51 44
6 Hajdina 26 12 2 12 53:43 38
7 Podvinci 26 11 5 10 47:42 38
8 Sampion Celje 26 11 4 11 47:54 37
9 Zavrc 26 10 6 10 46:44 36
10 Race 26 10 5 11 36:37 35
11 Ljutomer 26 9 5 12 45:61 32
12 NK Smartno 26 9 3 14 42:57 30
13 Dobrovce 26 6 5 15 27:55 23
14 Dravograd 26 1 1 24 16:110 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2024/2025 (Main)