Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drenica vs Mitrovica

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drenica in this Liga e Pare 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drenica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Drenica
35%
Draws
37%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mitrovica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Drenica have won more games recently than Mitrovica.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Drenica Clean Sheet 20%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drenica Mitrovica
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Liga e Pare
Drenica vs Mitrovica
4:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga e Pare
Drenica vs Mitrovica
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Drenica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 36 / 100
Mitrovica 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drenica Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitrovica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Drenica found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Drenica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Drenica VS Mitrovica
1.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Drenica

(Home)
08 Sept
Drenica
1 : 4
Prishtina
05 Sept
Drita
0 : 0
Drenica
28 Aug
Drenica
0 : 2
FC Ballkani
21 Aug
Malisheva
1 : 1
Drenica
15 Aug
Drenica
0 : 0
Dukagjini
Page 1 of 7

Mitrovica

(Away)
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)