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Dresden II vs Bernburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Dresden II Logo

Dresden II

3 - 0
FT
Bernburg Logo

Bernburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 game between Dresden II and Bernburg finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Dresden II
30%
Draws
0%
Bernburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dresden II come out ahead of Bernburg on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dresden II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 20%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden II Bernburg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.87 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Bernburg
3:0
Nov 22, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Dresden II
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden II 67 / 100
Bernburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden II Bernburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden II scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bernburg conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dresden II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden II VS Bernburg
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden II

(Home)
20 Sept
Dresden II
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
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Bernburg

(Away)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)