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Dresden vs Energie Cottbus Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Vermeij V.
34' Event
Michelbrink L.
53' Event
Pelivan D.

AI Match Summary

Energie Cottbus in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Energie Cottbus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dresden
30%
Draws
39%
Energie Cottbus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Energie Cottbus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Energie Cottbus haven't matched Dresden's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dresden's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dresden Clean Sheet 11%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Energie Cottbus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.41 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
1:2
Nov 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Dresden
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 3. Liga
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Vermeij V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Energie Cottbus Compare

Top Goalscorer Michelbrink L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pelivan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 38 / 100
Energie Cottbus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Energie Cottbus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Energie Cottbus let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Dresden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Energie Cottbus
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
23 Aug
Westfalia Rhynern
0 : 6
Dresden
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Energie Cottbus

(Away)
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2
Augsburg
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