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Dresden vs Magdeburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden host Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Magdeburg have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Dresden have conceded 1.27 and scored 2.33. Past meetings favor Dresden slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.94, favoring Dresden. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dresden
30%
Draws
58%
Magdeburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magdeburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dresden average 2.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Magdeburg's 2.14.
  • Win probability leans Magdeburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Magdeburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Magdeburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.33 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Magdeburg vs Dresden
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Magdeburg
1:2
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Magdeburg
2:2
Feb 6, 2021 3. Liga
Magdeburg vs Dresden
0:1
Oct 10, 2020 3. Liga
Dresden vs Magdeburg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 10 / 100
Magdeburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Magdeburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magdeburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Magdeburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dresden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Magdeburg
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

Magdeburg

(Away)
10 Oct
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Hannover
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Magdeburg
3 : 0
Kaiserslautern
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
9 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
10 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
11 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
14 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
15 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
16 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)