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Dresden vs Schalke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Dresden at 2.37 goals for, 1.2 against; Schalke at 1.79 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Schalke slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.81) back Schalke to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dresden
30%
Draws
41%
Schalke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Schalke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Dresden at 2.37 per game, Schalke at 1.79.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Schalke, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dresden Clean Sheet 11%
Schalke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Schalke
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.37 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Dresden
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Schalke
0:1
Apr 1, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Schalke
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Schalke vs Dresden
3:0
Aug 18, 2014 DFB Pokal
Dresden vs Schalke
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 35 / 100
Schalke 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Schalke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schalke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Schalke has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dresden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Schalke
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Magdeburg
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
Page 1 of 6

Schalke

(Away)
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
11 Oct
Freiburg
2 : 1
Schalke
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 5
Schalke
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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