Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden vs Union Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rothe T.
22' Event
Hauptmann N.
46'
Sub
Schreiber T. In: Bethke E.
Out: Schreiber T.

AI Match Summary

Dresden in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dresden
20%
Draws
64%
Union Berlin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden have won more games recently than Union Berlin.
  • Win probability leans Dresden's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Union Berlin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.33 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Union Berlin
2:1
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Dresden
3:0
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Dresden
2:0
Oct 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Union Berlin
0:0
Apr 7, 2019 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Union Berlin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauptmann N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vermeij V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rothe T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 74 / 100
Union Berlin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Union Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Union Berlin let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Union Berlin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Union Berlin
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
Page 1 of 6

Union Berlin

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Page 1 of 6