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Drogheda vs Dundalk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Burns B.
25' Event
Dillon C.
Assist: Horgan D.
32' Event
Ancelin K.
Assist: Agbaje E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Drogheda and Dundalk finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dundalk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
8%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of Drogheda on wins alone.
  • Drogheda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 68%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Dundalk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Dundalk
2:3
Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Drogheda
1:2
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Dundalk
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Drogheda
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs Dundalk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ancelin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavanagh B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dundalk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dillon C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horgan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 95 / 100
Dundalk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundalk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Drogheda found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Dundalk
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Dundalk

(Away)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)