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Drogheda vs Dundalk

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drogheda host Dundalk in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dundalk have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Drogheda have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Drogheda slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Dundalk. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Drogheda
35%
Draws
30%
Dundalk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dundalk come out ahead of Drogheda on wins alone.
  • Dundalk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 19%
Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Dundalk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Drogheda
1:2
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Dundalk
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Dundalk vs Drogheda
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Drogheda vs Dundalk
0:0
Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Dundalk vs Drogheda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 28 / 100
Dundalk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Dundalk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundalk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dundalk conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Dundalk
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
25 Jul
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2
Drogheda
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Dundalk

(Away)
21 Aug
Dundalk
1 : 2
Galway United
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0
Castlebar Celtic
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Dundalk
31 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 1
Sligo Rovers
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 28 14 8 6 45:23 50
3 Bohemians 28 13 8 7 47:34 47
4 Dundalk 28 9 10 9 43:43 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 28 7 12 9 38:37 33
7 Galway United 27 8 9 10 35:41 33
8 Waterford 28 6 11 11 37:48 29
9 Drogheda 28 6 10 12 31:45 28
10 Sligo Rovers 28 5 8 15 23:45 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)