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Club Friendly

Dundalk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Drogheda play Dundalk in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Drogheda averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Dundalk averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Drogheda won 0, Dundalk won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Drogheda and 1.81 for Dundalk. This points to a Dundalk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Drogheda

35%

Draws

39%

Dundalk

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dundalk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Drogheda picked up more points recently compared to Dundalk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Drogheda Clean Sheet 11%

Dundalk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Drogheda	Dundalk
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	6	12
Draws	9	9
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.23	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.65	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Dundalk

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division

Dundalk vs Drogheda

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly

Drogheda vs Dundalk

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Jan 31, 2025 Club Friendly

Dundalk vs Drogheda

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Nov 1, 2024 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Dundalk

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 26 / 100

Dundalk 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Drogheda Dundalk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dundalk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Drogheda attacking → ← attacking Dundalk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Dundalk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dundalk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 45

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50