Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drogheda vs Shelbourne

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wood H.
19'
Barrett P.
24' Event
Oluwa T.
Assist: Kavanagh B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Drogheda
35%
Draws
6%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Drogheda haven't matched Shelbourne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Drogheda a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 68%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Shelbourne
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.32 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
3:4
Feb 27, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
1:2
Sep 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Shelbourne
2:1
May 19, 2025 Premier Division
Shelbourne vs Drogheda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Oluwa T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doyle M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 95 / 100
Shelbourne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Shelbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Drogheda's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Shelbourne
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
25 Jul
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2
Drogheda
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
10 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 2
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

Shelbourne

(Away)
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2
Ajax
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
30 Jul
Kalju
2 : 1
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)