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Drogheda vs St. Patricks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Olusanya A.
Assist: Keena A.
38'
Keeley C.
46'
Sub
Bucknor J. In: Quinn A.
Out: Bucknor J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Drogheda and St. Patricks finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
42%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors St. Patricks here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 16%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
1:3
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
4:1
Aug 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Olusanya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baggley B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 31 / 100
St. Patricks 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Patricks has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Drogheda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS St. Patricks
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
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St. Patricks

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 18 8 6 52:32 62
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)