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Drogheda vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drogheda host St. Patricks in the Premier Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. St. Patricks have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Drogheda have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Drogheda have won 0 to St. Patricks's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back St. Patricks to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Drogheda
35%
Draws
31%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Drogheda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors St. Patricks here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 68%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda St. Patricks
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
1:3
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
4:1
Aug 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
0:1
Jun 13, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 68 / 100
St. Patricks 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Drogheda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Drogheda scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

St. Patricks has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS St. Patricks
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
25 Jul
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2
Drogheda
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
10 Jul
Dundalk
1 : 2
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

St. Patricks

(Away)
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1
Wexford
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 27 13 8 6 43:23 47
3 Bohemians 27 12 8 7 42:31 44
4 Dundalk 27 9 10 8 42:41 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 27 7 12 8 35:32 33
7 Galway United 26 7 9 10 33:40 30
8 Waterford 27 6 10 11 37:48 28
9 Drogheda 27 6 10 11 31:43 28
10 Sligo Rovers 27 5 7 15 23:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)