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Drukpa vs Ugyen Academy

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Jamtsho K. T.
89' Event
Jamtsho K. T.
90' Event
Phub D.

AI Match Summary

Drukpa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drukpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Drukpa
15%
Draws
0%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drukpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ugyen Academy lately — more wins on the board than Drukpa.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Drukpa taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Drukpa Clean Sheet 20%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drukpa Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 16 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.94 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Drukpa vs Ugyen Academy
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drukpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jamtsho K. T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Phub D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ugyen Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drukpa 85 / 100
Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drukpa Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drukpa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drukpa scored in 94% of their last 16 games.

Ugyen Academy let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ugyen Academy lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drukpa VS Ugyen Academy
2 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Drukpa

(Home)
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
14 Sept
Drukpa
1 : 3
RTC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
03 Aug
Drukpa
1 : 3
Paro
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Ugyen Academy

(Away)
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
16 Aug
Ugyen Academy
2 : 3
Tensung
05 Aug
Ugyen Academy
0 : 1
BFF Academy U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 16 11 4 1 46:12 37
3 Transport United 16 9 2 5 27:20 29
4 Thimphu FC 16 9 1 6 22:20 28
5 RTC 16 6 4 6 18:18 22
6 Drukpa 16 5 5 6 31:26 20
7 BFF Academy U19 16 5 4 7 28:38 19
8 Tsirang 16 4 4 8 25:38 16
9 Tensung 16 2 2 12 12:44 8
10 Ugyen Academy 16 1 1 14 9:56 4
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